Iran Conflict Monitor

Operations Epic Fury · Roaring Lion · True Promise IV  —  Began Feb 28, 2026

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Day 13
Epic Fury & Roaring Lion vs True Promise IV + Lebanon Front
ONGOING

Situation brief

At 1:15 am on February 28, 2026, the United States (Operation Epic Fury) and Israel (Operation Roaring Lion) launched a coordinated preemptive campaign against Iran, targeting missile infrastructure, nuclear facilities, IRGC leadership, naval assets, and integrated air defenses. In the first 7 days, CENTCOM struck over 3,000 targets and destroyed or damaged 55+ Iranian ships. The first week cost the U.S. $11.3 billion (Pentagon to Congress).

Iran retaliated with Operation True Promise IV, launching 2,000+ missiles and drones (daily drone launches now 83% lower than peak). The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed — Iran's attacks halted tanker transits through the waterway carrying 20% of global oil. Hezbollah broke its ceasefire on March 1; its March 12 barrage of 200+ rockets reached central Israel. As of Day 13, Iran's government is damaged but continuing operations — Mojtaba Khamenei is being positioned as successor Supreme Leader.

Key figures

Published reference points by party

United States
Operation Epic Fury
3,000+
targets struck · 7-day official
55+ Iranian ships damaged or destroyed (43 confirmed in 7-day fact sheet; 12+ mine-laying vessels destroyed Mar 10). Targets include IRGC HQ, ballistic missile sites, integrated air defense, naval assets, command centers, and nuclear infrastructure. First week cost: $11.3B (Pentagon to Congress).
CENTCOM · Epic Fury 7-Day Fact Sheet / AP
Israel
Operation Roaring Lion
4,000+
munitions deployed
200 jets / ~500 targets on Day 1. ~300 Iranian missile launchers destroyed. 1,200+ bombs in first 24h. Taleghan 2 nuclear facility struck (was being restored after Oct 2024 destruction). IDF ground operation in Lebanon prepared.
IDF statements / AP / Reuters
Iran
True Promise IV
2,000+
missiles & drones launched
30+ ballistic missile waves across 9 countries (420+ missiles: 39% at Israel, 40% at UAE, 11% at Qatar). 2,000+ drones since Feb 28 — daily drone launches down 83% (JCS Gen. Caine, Mar 10). Hormuz Strait effectively closed. Iran vows to block all oil exports. Rejected ceasefire overtures from China, France, Russia.
NBC News / AP / JCS statement Mar 10
Hezbollah
Lebanon Front
200+
rockets · Mar 12 barrage
Ceasefire broken Mar 1 — first rockets since Nov 2024. Mar 12 barrage (largest to date) reached central Israel (Haniel); Israel struck Beirut car killing 8, wounding 31. IDF struck 70+ Lebanon targets; ground invasion prepared.
IDF / AP News Mar 12

Charts

Current operation at a glance

Coalition strike volume

US targets struck + ships destroyed vs Israeli munitions deployed and Iranian launchers neutralized.

Iranian True Promise IV — target breakdown

Distribution of 420+ missiles across 9 countries and ships at sea (first wave).

Hezbollah rocket escalation

Estimated daily launch volumes from Lebanon since ceasefire broke on Mar 1.

Event timeline

Key events since Feb 28 — newest first

2026-03-12 AP / IDF
Hezbollah launches 200+ rockets at northern and central Israel — largest barrage to date. Projectiles reach Haniel (central Israel). Israel strikes car near Beirut beachfront killing 8, wounding 31.
2026-03-12 AP News
Iran strikes Iraq's Basra port (1+ killed; all oil terminals halted), Bahrain's Muharraq facility (major fire), and Dubai's Address Creek 2 Tower. Tehran security checkpoints attacked overnight — 10+ killed. Drone attacks also hit Iraqi Kurdistan and Oman's Salalah port.
2026-03-12 AP / IDF
Israel strikes Taleghan 2 nuclear facility in Iran — site had been destroyed in Oct 2024 but Iran was restoring it. U.S. campaign enters Day 12; CENTCOM publishes footage of strikes on Iranian aircraft, trucks, and boats.
2026-03-11 AP / UN
UN Security Council votes 13-0 demanding halt to Iran's attacks on Gulf states. First week of war cost U.S. $11.3B (Pentagon to Congress); $5B on munitions in first weekend alone.
2026-03-11 AP News
Strait of Hormuz effectively closed: Iran's attacks on ships halt tanker transits. Iran vows to block 'even a single liter' of oil to enemies. Iran strikes Dubai International Airport area (4 wounded), Oman's Salalah port fuel tanks.
2026-03-11 JPost / RedState
Hezbollah launches 100+ rocket barrage at northern Israel — Iron Dome overwhelmed, only half intercepted. IDF strikes 70+ Lebanon targets. Ground invasion preparations reported.
2026-03-10 AP / CNN
U.S. destroys 12+ mine-laying Iranian vessels near the Strait of Hormuz. Hegseth warns Day 11 will be 'most intense day of strikes' — most fighters, bombers, and refined intelligence. Mojtaba Khamenei billboards appear in Tehran.
2026-03-09 AP News
Rallies in Tehran support Mojtaba Khamenei (son of slain Supreme Leader) as successor. Iranian FM Gharibabadi rejects ceasefire contacts from China, France, Russia — 'We hold the upper hand.'
2026-03-09 PressTV / Tribune India
True Promise IV: Iran and resistance axis conduct coordinated ops against U.S./Israeli assets. Iraq's Islamic Resistance carries out 24 operations in 24 hours. Bahrain drone attack injures 32 including children (Sitra area).
2026-03-07 AP / Pentagon
Sgt. Declan Coady, 20, of West Des Moines, Iowa — first U.S. service member KIA — killed in Iranian drone strike on command center in Kuwait. Remains returned at Dover Air Force Base.
2026-03-06 PressTV
Iran launches 22nd wave of True Promise IV with new-generation missiles: hypersonic Fattah, Khorramshahr-4, Khaibar. Multiple-warhead systems deployed.
2026-03-05 Reuters
~60 Hezbollah rockets/drones on Mar 2, similar on Mar 3, double that on Mar 4 before major Israeli retaliation in Beirut and southern Lebanon.
2026-03-03 Red Crescent / HRAI
Red Crescent reports 600+ Iranian civilians killed; HRAI estimates 742+. U.S. intelligence: Iranian government damaged but not near collapse.
2026-03-01 NBC News / Tribune India
Iran launches Operation True Promise IV: 420+ missiles and drones across 9 countries and ships at sea. 39% at Israel, 40% at UAE, 11% at Qatar.
2026-03-01 Trump / Truth Social
Trump announces 9 Iranian warships sunk and Iran's naval HQ destroyed. (7-day fact sheet later confirms 43 ships damaged or destroyed.)
2026-03-01 Times of Israel
Hezbollah fires rockets at northern Israel — first since the November 2024 ceasefire. Lebanon front opens.
2026-02-28 Reuters / multiple
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei reportedly killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike — the most significant regime event of the war.
2026-02-28 CENTCOM · Epic Fury Fact Sheet
Operations Epic Fury (U.S.) and Roaring Lion (Israel) launch at 1:15 am. U.S.: 900+ strikes in first 12 hours. Israel: 200 jets, ~500 targets, 1,200+ bombs in 24h. Total 7-day US target count: 3,000+.

Data compiled from public sources by an AI research agent. Figures may be incomplete, disputed, or reflect single-source claims. Casualty counts are inherently uncertain in active conflict. Always verify with primary sources. Last updated 2026-03-12.